Corse-du-Sud — 1ère circonscription
Legislative constituency · Corse-du-Sud
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives another bloc a 88% chance of winning, with an average lead of 3.9 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 22%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Others | Centre (Ensemble) | Left (NFP) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corse-du-Sud — 1ère circonscription | 34.1% | 30.1% | 25.6% | 8.6% |
| Provincial averageCorse-du-Sud | 35.1%−1.0 | 32.9%−2.8 | 12.8%+12.8 | 9.8%−1.2 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%−1.9 | 3.9%+26.2 | 17.0%+8.6 | 29.0%−20.4 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Laurent MARCANGELI · Centre (Ensemble)
Previous election (2024)
The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: another bloc ahead by 3.9 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ariane QUARENA | RN and allies | 10,377 | 31.2 |
| Laurent MARCANGELI Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 10,210 | 30.7 |
| Romain COLONNA | Others | 5,601 | 16.8 |
| Marc-Antoine LEROY | Left (NFP) | 3,125 | 9.4 |
| Emmanuelle DOMINICI | Others | 1,533 | 4.6 |
| Lisandru LUCIANI | Others | 1,202 | 3.6 |
| Jean-François LUCIANI | Others | 1,078 | 3.2 |
| Didier QUILICHINI | Far left | 133 | 0.4 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Haute-Corse — 2ème circonscription Others, toss-up
- Corse-du-Sud — 2ème circonscription Others, safe seat
- Haute-Corse — 1ère circonscription Others, safe seat
- Alpes-Maritimes — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Alpes-Maritimes — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Alpes-Maritimes — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated