Alpes-Maritimes — 3ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Alpes-Maritimes
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 18.0 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | Greens | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alpes-Maritimes — 3ème circonscription | 44.5% | 26.5% | 20.4% | 3.1% |
| Provincial averageAlpes-Maritimes | 48.5%−4.0 | 18.5%+8.0 | 10.7%+9.7 | 2.6%+0.5 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+8.5 | 29.0%−2.5 | 17.0%+3.4 | 0.4%+2.6 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Bernard CHAIX · RN and allies
Previous election (2024)
The RN and its allies won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 18.0 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bernard CHAIX Elected | RN and allies | 23,983 | 41.5 |
| Laure QUIGNARD | Left (NFP) | 15,754 | 27.2 |
| Philippe PRADAL | Centre (Ensemble) | 14,670 | 25.4 |
| Marie Françoise CAUSSIN | Greens | 1,675 | 2.9 |
| Thibault DELHEZ | Sovereignists | 883 | 1.5 |
| Estelle JAQUET | Far left | 438 | 0.8 |
| Marjorie VIVO | Greens | 434 | 0.8 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Alpes-Maritimes — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Alpes-Maritimes — 6ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Alpes-Maritimes — 7ème circonscription RN and allies, competitive
- Alpes-Maritimes — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Alpes-Maritimes — 5ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Alpes-Maritimes — 8ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated