Alpes-Maritimes — 8ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Alpes-Maritimes
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a 98% chance of winning, with an average lead of 16.2 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 4%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | LR and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alpes-Maritimes — 8ème circonscription | 45.8% | 29.6% | 13.8% | 7.1% |
| Provincial averageAlpes-Maritimes | 48.5%−2.7 | 15.7%+14.0 | 18.5%−4.7 | 10.7%−3.6 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+9.8 | 12.2%+17.4 | 29.0%−15.2 | 17.0%−9.9 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Alexandra MARTIN · LR and allies
Previous election (2024)
The LR right won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 16.2 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dorette LANDERER | RN and allies | 23,010 | 42.7 |
| Alexandra MARTIN Elected | LR and allies | 15,284 | 28.4 |
| Lucia SOUDANT | Left (NFP) | 7,837 | 14.6 |
| Mike CASTRO DEMARIA | Centre (Ensemble) | 6,508 | 12.1 |
| Anne ITTY | Greens | 950 | 1.8 |
| Marie-José PEREIRA | Far left | 181 | 0.3 |
| Christophe NEUTZLER | Others | 66 | 0.1 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Alpes-Maritimes — 9ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Alpes-Maritimes — 7ème circonscription RN and allies, competitive
- Alpes-Maritimes — 6ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Var — 5ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Alpes-Maritimes — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Alpes-Maritimes — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated