Alpes-Maritimes — 9ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Alpes-Maritimes
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a 97% chance of winning, with an average lead of 11.4 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 6%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | LR and allies | Left (NFP) | Greens | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alpes-Maritimes — 9ème circonscription | 44.8% | 33.4% | 16.9% | 2.5% |
| Provincial averageAlpes-Maritimes | 48.5%−3.7 | 15.7%+17.8 | 18.5%−1.7 | 2.6%−0.1 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+8.8 | 12.2%+21.2 | 29.0%−12.2 | 0.4%+2.1 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Michèle TABAROT · LR and allies
Previous election (2024)
The LR right won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 11.4 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Franck GALBERT | RN and allies | 22,921 | 42.3 |
| Michèle TABAROT Elected | LR and allies | 18,334 | 33.8 |
| José GARCIA ABIA | Left (NFP) | 9,987 | 18.4 |
| Henriette PALMERS | Greens | 1,742 | 3.2 |
| Sylvain LIENHARDT | RN and allies | 900 | 1.7 |
| Liliane PÉCOUT | Far left | 294 | 0.5 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Alpes-Maritimes — 8ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Alpes-Maritimes — 7ème circonscription RN and allies, competitive
- Alpes-Maritimes — 6ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Var — 5ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Alpes-Maritimes — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Alpes-Maritimes — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated