Alpes-Maritimes — 7ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Alpes-Maritimes
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a 87% chance of winning, with an average lead of 14.7 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 26%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | LR and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alpes-Maritimes — 7ème circonscription | 40.8% | 26.1% | 15.9% | 12.5% |
| Provincial averageAlpes-Maritimes | 48.5%−7.7 | 15.7%+10.5 | 18.5%−2.6 | 10.7%+1.8 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+4.8 | 12.2%+13.9 | 29.0%−13.1 | 17.0%−4.5 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Eric PAUGET · LR and allies
Previous election (2024)
The LR right won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 14.7 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thierry FERRAND | RN and allies | 23,921 | 36.3 |
| Eric PAUGET Elected | LR and allies | 16,389 | 24.9 |
| Aline ABRAVANEL | Centre (Ensemble) | 11,510 | 17.5 |
| Arthur MEYER-ABBATUCCI | Left (NFP) | 10,974 | 16.7 |
| Marylin ZBIROU | Greens | 1,651 | 2.5 |
| David QUINTELA | RN and allies | 932 | 1.4 |
| Christian PETARD | Far left | 264 | 0.4 |
| Enzo DEWASMES | Others | 225 | 0.3 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Alpes-Maritimes — 9ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Alpes-Maritimes — 8ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Alpes-Maritimes — 6ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Alpes-Maritimes — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Alpes-Maritimes — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Alpes-Maritimes — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated