Alpes-Maritimes — 5ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Alpes-Maritimes
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 33.5 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Others | Centre (Ensemble) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alpes-Maritimes — 5ème circonscription | 53.4% | 19.9% | 12.8% | 9.4% |
| Provincial averageAlpes-Maritimes | 48.5%+4.9 | 18.5%+1.4 | 3.3%+9.5 | 10.7%−1.3 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+17.4 | 29.0%−9.1 | 3.9%+8.8 | 17.0%−7.6 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Christelle D'INTORNI · RN and allies
Previous election (2024)
The RN and its allies won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 33.5 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Christelle D'INTORNI Elected | RN and allies | 29,804 | 50.4 |
| Fabrice DECOUPIGNY | Left (NFP) | 12,233 | 20.7 |
| Gaël NOFRI | Centre (Ensemble) | 8,473 | 14.3 |
| Patrice BENOIT | Others | 6,375 | 10.8 |
| Axel HVIDSTEN | Greens | 1,876 | 3.2 |
| Agnès BENKEMOUN | Far left | 436 | 0.7 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Alpes-Maritimes — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Alpes-Maritimes — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Alpes-Maritimes — 6ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Alpes-Maritimes — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Alpes-Maritimes — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Alpes-Maritimes — 7ème circonscription RN and allies, competitive
- Forecast updated