Oise — 2ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Oise
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 34.1 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | LR and allies | Left (NFP) | Greens | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oise — 2ème circonscription | 55.6% | 21.5% | 17.0% | 3.0% |
| Provincial averageOise | 47.9%+7.7 | 18.6%+2.9 | 21.0%−4.0 | 0.5%+2.4 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+19.6 | 12.2%+9.3 | 29.0%−12.0 | 0.4%+2.5 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Philippe BALLARD · RN and allies
Previous election (2024)
The RN and its allies won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 34.1 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Philippe BALLARD Elected | RN and allies | 30,823 | 53.2 |
| Ludovic CASTANIÉ | LR and allies | 12,339 | 21.3 |
| Marianne SECK | Left (NFP) | 10,772 | 18.6 |
| Mohamed EL AIYATE | Greens | 2,144 | 3.7 |
| Pierre DELARBOULAS | RN and allies | 1,225 | 2.1 |
| Renée POTCHTOVIK | Far left | 630 | 1.1 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Val-d'Oise — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Oise — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Oise — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Val-d'Oise — 10ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Yvelines — 7ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Yvelines — 8ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Forecast updated