Isère — 8ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Isère
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 19.1 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isère — 8ème circonscription | 42.7% | 23.6% | 15.5% | 15.0% |
| Provincial averageIsère | 37.4%+5.3 | 32.2%−8.6 | 16.2%−0.7 | 10.9%+4.1 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+6.7 | 29.0%−5.4 | 17.0%−1.6 | 12.2%+2.8 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Hanane MANSOURI · RN and allies
Previous election (2024)
The RN and its allies won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 19.1 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hanane MANSOURI Elected | RN and allies | 22,847 | 39.9 |
| Cécile MICHEL | Left (NFP) | 14,021 | 24.5 |
| Caroline ABADIE | Centre (Ensemble) | 11,727 | 20.5 |
| Jean-Claude LASSALLE | LR and allies | 7,923 | 13.8 |
| Jacques LACAILLE | Far left | 623 | 1.1 |
| Aurore GALVES | Others | 91 | 0.2 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Rhône — 11ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Rhône — 14ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Isère — 7ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Rhône — 3ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Rhône — 12ème circonscription Left (NFP), toss-up
- Rhône — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Forecast updated