Gers — 2ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Gers
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the united left a 79% chance of winning, with an average lead of 5.0 points.
Competitive. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 43%.
Compared with the average
| Left (NFP) | RN and allies | LR and allies | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gers — 2ème circonscription | 42.7% | 37.7% | 14.5% | 4.2% |
| Provincial averageGers | 34.6%+8.1 | 38.8%−1.1 | 7.9%+6.6 | 4.1%+0.2 |
| National averageFrance | 29.0%+13.7 | 36.0%+1.8 | 12.2%+2.3 | 3.9%+0.3 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
David TAUPIAC · Left (NFP)
Previous election (2024)
The united left won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the united left ahead by 5.0 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| David TAUPIAC Elected | Left (NFP) | 24,185 | 45.8 |
| Alice CENDRÉ | RN and allies | 18,739 | 35.5 |
| Barbara NETO | LR and allies | 7,416 | 14.0 |
| Jean-Luc DAVEZAC | Others | 1,293 | 2.5 |
| Martine ARNAUDY | RN and allies | 679 | 1.3 |
| Michèle MARTIN | Far left | 481 | 0.9 |
| Abla LAZORAT | Others | 13 | 0.0 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Gers — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, competitive
- Lot-et-Garonne — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Tarn-et-Garonne — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Haute-Garonne — 6ème circonscription RN and allies, toss-up
- Lot-et-Garonne — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Lot-et-Garonne — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated