Lot-et-Garonne — 2ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Lot-et-Garonne
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 26.1 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lot-et-Garonne — 2ème circonscription | 52.1% | 26.0% | 16.9% | 2.0% |
| Provincial averageLot-et-Garonne | 46.6%+5.5 | 27.1%−1.1 | 13.4%+3.5 | 2.5%−0.5 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+16.1 | 29.0%−3.0 | 17.0%−0.1 | 3.9%−1.9 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Hélène LAPORTE · RN and allies
Previous election (2024)
The RN and its allies won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 26.1 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hélène LAPORTE Elected | RN and allies | 25,283 | 49.3 |
| Christophe COURREGELONGUE | Left (NFP) | 13,787 | 26.9 |
| Jean-Marie LENZI | Centre (Ensemble) | 11,272 | 22.0 |
| Nathalie LAMBOLEZ | Far left | 929 | 1.8 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Lot-et-Garonne — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Gironde — 12ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Dordogne — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Lot-et-Garonne — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Gironde — 10ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Gironde — 9ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated