Lot-et-Garonne — 1ère circonscription
Legislative constituency · Lot-et-Garonne
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 21.1 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 1%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lot-et-Garonne — 1ère circonscription | 45.9% | 24.8% | 23.3% | 3.7% |
| Provincial averageLot-et-Garonne | 46.6%−0.7 | 27.1%−2.3 | 13.4%+9.9 | 2.5%+1.2 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+9.9 | 29.0%−4.3 | 17.0%+6.3 | 3.9%−0.3 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Michel LAUZZANA · Centre (Ensemble)
Previous election (2024)
The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 21.1 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sébastien DELBOSQ | RN and allies | 26,034 | 43.1 |
| Michel LAUZZANA Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 17,155 | 28.4 |
| Paul VO VAN | Left (NFP) | 15,479 | 25.6 |
| Patrice CUQUEL | Others | 1,021 | 1.7 |
| Mohamed EL MARBATI | Far left | 700 | 1.2 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Gers — 2ème circonscription Left (NFP), competitive
- Lot-et-Garonne — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Lot-et-Garonne — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Tarn-et-Garonne — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Gers — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, competitive
- Dordogne — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated