Thursday, October 15, 2026
B.C. votes in 9 days

Drôme — 2ème circonscription

Legislative constituency · Drôme

Forecast of July 11, 2026

Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 24.8 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • RN and allies 46.7%
  • Left (NFP) 22.0%
  • LR and allies 14.4%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 13.9%
  • Others 2.0%
  • Far left 1.0%

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

Compared with the average

RN and allies Left (NFP) LR and allies Centre (Ensemble)
Drôme — 2ème circonscription 46.7%22.0%14.4%13.9%
Provincial averageDrôme 40.0%+6.7 29.0%−7.0 17.0%−2.7 10.7%+3.2
National averageFrance 36.0%+10.8 29.0%−7.1 12.2%+2.2 17.0%−3.1

Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.

Current member

Lisette POLLET · RN and allies

Previous election (2024)

The RN and its allies won by 0.0 points.

Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 24.8 points.

Candidates and votes in 2024

Candidate Party Votes %
Lisette POLLET Elected RN and allies 27,507 42.9
Karim CHKERI Left (NFP) 14,642 22.8
Nicolas MICHEL Centre (Ensemble) 12,158 18.9
Damien LAGIER LR and allies 6,684 10.4
Karim OUMEDDOUR LR and allies 1,795 2.8
Jean-Marc GAILLARD RN and allies 710 1.1
Guy RAT Far left 704 1.1

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Forecast updated