Drôme — 1ère circonscription
Legislative constituency · Drôme
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a 79% chance of winning, with an average lead of 3.5 points.
Competitive. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 41%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | LR and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drôme — 1ère circonscription | 35.0% | 31.5% | 19.0% | 11.6% |
| Provincial averageDrôme | 40.0%−5.0 | 29.0%+2.5 | 17.0%+2.0 | 10.7%+0.9 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%−1.0 | 29.0%+2.5 | 12.2%+6.8 | 17.0%−5.4 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Paul CHRISTOPHLE · Left (NFP)
Previous election (2024)
The united left won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 3.5 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paul CHRISTOPHLE Elected | Left (NFP) | 16,835 | 32.4 |
| Jean-Paul VALLON | RN and allies | 16,145 | 31.1 |
| Véronique PUGEAT | LR and allies | 9,292 | 17.9 |
| Mireille CLAPOT | Centre (Ensemble) | 8,635 | 16.6 |
| Thierry AOUSTET | RN and allies | 551 | 1.1 |
| Adèle KOPFF | Far left | 490 | 0.9 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Drôme — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Ardèche — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Drôme — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Isère — 7ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Isère — 8ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Ardèche — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated