Ardèche — 3ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Ardèche
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a 52% chance of winning, with an average lead of 8.1 points.
Toss-up. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 93%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | LR and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ardèche — 3ème circonscription | 35.6% | 27.6% | 27.4% | 5.5% |
| Provincial averageArdèche | 39.7%−4.0 | 17.0%+10.6 | 29.6%−2.2 | 8.4%−2.9 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%−0.4 | 12.2%+15.4 | 29.0%−1.6 | 17.0%−11.6 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Fabrice BRUN · LR and allies
Previous election (2024)
The LR right won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 8.1 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cyrille GRANGIER | RN and allies | 18,328 | 31.9 |
| Florence PALLOT | Left (NFP) | 16,239 | 28.3 |
| Fabrice BRUN Elected | LR and allies | 15,194 | 26.5 |
| Quentin BONNETAIN | Centre (Ensemble) | 5,984 | 10.4 |
| Christophe MARCHISIO | Far left | 482 | 0.8 |
| Jacques MARCESSE | RN and allies | 479 | 0.8 |
| Laurent TOUZET | Others | 331 | 0.6 |
| Alexandre FAURE | Far left | 327 | 0.6 |
| Félix ZAGUEDOUN-REYNAUD | Others | 7 | 0.0 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Ardèche — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Gard — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Drôme — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Haute-Loire — 1ère circonscription LR and allies, safe seat
- Ardèche — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Gard — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated