Gard — 4ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Gard
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 25.0 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gard — 4ème circonscription | 51.4% | 26.5% | 11.3% | 7.3% |
| Provincial averageGard | 48.7%+2.8 | 26.7%−0.2 | 12.6%−1.3 | 8.4%−1.1 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+15.5 | 29.0%−2.5 | 17.0%−5.7 | 12.2%−4.9 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Pierre MEURIN · RN and allies
Previous election (2024)
The RN and its allies won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 25.0 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pierre MEURIN Elected | RN and allies | 31,366 | 48.7 |
| Arnaud BORD | Left (NFP) | 17,639 | 27.4 |
| Nadia EL OKKI | Centre (Ensemble) | 10,538 | 16.4 |
| Pierre MARTIN | LR and allies | 3,930 | 6.1 |
| Jérôme GARCIA | Far left | 948 | 1.5 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Gard — 6ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Gard — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Gard — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Ardèche — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, toss-up
- Gard — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Gard — 5ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated