Missouri’s 7th District
U.S. House · MO-7
Election day November 3, 2026 · forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Republicans a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 34.6 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Republican | Democrat | Other | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MO-7 | 67.3% | 32.7% | 0.1% |
| National averageUnited States | 44.2%+23.0 | 54.5%−21.8 | 1.2%−1.2 |
Simple average of the 435 districts, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Local profile
| Latino citizens aged 18 and over | 4.2% (± 0.1) |
|---|
Current member
Burlison, Eric · Republican
Who's running
The candidates
Candidates for the upcoming election.
-
Republican Incumbent Burlison, Eric
General-election qualification remains to be verified.
-
Democrat Challenger Hesketh, Missi
General-election qualification remains to be verified.
- Republican Challenger
Hunt, Grayson
General-election qualification remains to be verified.
Previous election (2024)
The Republicans won by 45.3 points.
Our current projection: the Republicans ahead by 34.6 points.
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated