Georgia’s 12th District

U.S. House · GA-12

Election day November 3, 2026 · forecast of October 15, 2026

Our forecast gives the Republicans a 93% chance of winning, with an average lead of 11.2 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 19%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

	Republican	Democrat
GA-12	55.4%	44.7%
National averageUnited States	44.2%+11.1	54.5%−9.9

Simple average of the 435 districts, not weighted by population.

Projection track

Latino citizens aged 18 and over	4.1% (± 0.2)

Share of all citizens aged 18 and over (ACS 2020–2024 estimate). Not a share of registered or actual voters.

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, citizen voting-age population by race and ethnicity, ACS 2020–2024, 119th Congress districts

Rick W. Allen · Republican

Held June 16, 2026 · Certified official result · Official source

Democratic primary	Ceretta Smith	55.8%	16,823 votes
Republican primary	Rick W. Allen	83.4%	59,576 votes

Who's running

Candidates for the upcoming election.

The Republicans won by 20.6 points.

Our current projection: the Republicans ahead by 11.2 points.

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Watch list

The smallest projected gaps between the top two.