Thursday, October 15, 2026
B.C. votes in 9 days

Georgia’s 13th District

U.S. House · GA-13

Election day November 3, 2026 · forecast of October 15, 2026

Our forecast gives the Democrats a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 52.3 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Democrat 76.2%

    Jasmine Clark

  • Republican 23.8%

    Jonathan Chavez

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

Compared with the average

Democrat Republican
GA-13 76.2%23.8%
National averageUnited States 54.5%+21.7 44.2%−20.4

Simple average of the 435 districts, not weighted by population.

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Local profile

Latino citizens aged 18 and over8.4% (± 0.5)

Share of all citizens aged 18 and over (ACS 2020–2024 estimate). Not a share of registered or actual voters.

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, citizen voting-age population by race and ethnicity, ACS 2020–2024, 119th Congress districts

Current member

Scott, David Albert · Democrat

Primary results

Held May 19, 2026 · Certified official result · Official source

Democratic primary Jasmine Clark 56.1% 61,504 votes
Republican primary Jonathan Chavez 100.0% 25,547 votes

Who's running

The candidates

Candidates for the upcoming election.

  • Democrat Challenger

    Jasmine Clark

    source
  • Republican Open seat

    Jonathan Chavez

    source

Previous election (2024)

The Democrats won by 43.7 points.

Our current projection: the Democrats ahead by 52.3 points.

Nearby districts

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

  • GA-4 Democrat, safe seat
  • GA-5 Democrat, safe seat
  • GA-6 Democrat, safe seat
  • GA-10 Republican, competitive
  • GA-7 Republican, safe seat
  • GA-3 Republican, safe seat

Watch list

The tightest races

The smallest projected gaps between the top two.

  1. AZ-2Republican52%5.7-point gap
  2. KY-6Republican53%5.8-point gap
  3. VA-1Republican58%5.8-point gap
Forecast updated