Saturday, October 24, 2026
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Wyoming

Governor’s race · Wyoming

Election day November 3, 2026 · forecast of October 23, 2026

Our forecast gives the Republicans a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 37.5 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Republican 63.7%

    Eric Barlow

  • Democrat 26.2%

    Kenneth Casner

  • Other 10.1%

    Joseph Kibler Constitution

Thin vertical mark: 2022 result.

Compared with the average

Republican Democrat Other
Wyoming 63.7%26.2%10.1%
National averageUnited States 46.9%+16.8 49.5%−23.3 3.6%+6.5

Simple average of the 36 state races, not weighted by population.

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Current governor

Mark Gordon · Republican

Who's running

The candidates

Candidates for the upcoming election.

  • Democrat Open seat

    Kenneth Casner

    source
  • Other Open seat

    Joseph Kibler

    source
  • Republican Open seat

    Eric Barlow

    source

Previous election (2022)

The Republicans won by 58.3 points.

Our current projection: the Republicans ahead by 37.5 points.

Other races to watch

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Watch list

The tightest races

The smallest projected gaps between the top two.

  1. OhioDemocrat59%4.6-point gap
  2. GeorgiaDemocrat52%4.7-point gap
  3. TexasRepublican70%4.9-point gap
Forecast updated