Colorado

Governor’s race · Colorado

Election day November 3, 2026 · forecast of October 23, 2026

Our forecast gives the Democrats a 96% chance of winning, with an average lead of 16.2 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 9%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

Democrat 57.7%

Phil Weiser
Republican 41.9%

Victor Marx

Thin vertical mark: 2022 result.

Compared with the average

	Democrat	Republican	Other
Colorado	57.7%	41.9%	0.4%
National averageUnited States	49.5%+8.2	46.9%−5.1	3.6%−3.2

Simple average of the 36 state races, not weighted by population.

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Polls in this district

1 poll

Pollster	Field dates	Sample	Population	Topline	Source	Image
Magellan Strategies	Jul 30, 2025 – Aug 12, 2025	1,136	registered voters	Democrat 50 Republican 38	See the poll

Each poll as the pollster published it; these are not the Vote-Scope projection. When a pollster tests several ballots (with or without a given candidate), each one is shown as a scenario.

Current governor

Jared Polis · Democrat

Who's running

The candidates

Candidates for the upcoming election.

Democrat Open seat

Phil Weiser
source
Other Open seat

Eric Mulder
source
Other Open seat

Erik Underwood
source
Other Open seat

Greg Lopez
source
Other Open seat

Jeff Peckman
source
Other Open seat

Stephen Hamilton
source
Republican Open seat

Victor Marx
source

Previous election (2022)

The Democrats won by 19.3 points.

Our current projection: the Democrats ahead by 16.2 points.

Other races to watch

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Ohio Democrat, toss-up
Georgia Democrat, toss-up
Texas Republican, toss-up
Florida Republican, toss-up
Nevada Democrat, toss-up
Alaska Republican, toss-up

Watch list

The tightest races

The smallest projected gaps between the top two.

Forecast updated: October 23, 2026