France · 2027 presidential poll

IFOP — February 27, 2026

Fieldwork
February 26, 2026 → February 27, 2026
Sample
1,393 respondents
Published
February 27, 2026
Pollster release
Pollster release →

First round, voting intention

  • Jordan Bardella 36%
  • Édouard Philippe 16%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon 11%
  • Raphaël Glucksmann 10%
  • Bruno Retailleau 10%
  • Marine Tondelier 4%
  • Éric Zemmour 4%
  • Dominique de Villepin 3.5%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan 2.5%
  • Fabien Roussel 2%
  • Nathalie Arthaud 1%

This poll tested 10 candidate line-ups

French pollsters test several hypothetical fields in the same survey. Each one is shown below — the pollster’s own release rarely puts them side by side.

Line-up 1 · with Bardella, Philippe, Glucksmann, Retailleau, Zemmour, Villepin

  • Jordan Bardella36%
  • Édouard Philippe16%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon11%
  • Raphaël Glucksmann10%
  • Bruno Retailleau10%
  • Marine Tondelier4%
  • Éric Zemmour4%
  • Dominique de Villepin3.5%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2.5%
  • Fabien Roussel2%
  • Nathalie Arthaud1%

Line-up 2 · with Bardella, Glucksmann, Retailleau, Lecornu, Villepin, Zemmour

  • Jordan Bardella37%
  • Raphaël Glucksmann13%
  • Bruno Retailleau13%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon10%
  • Sébastien Lecornu6%
  • Dominique de Villepin5%
  • Marine Tondelier4.5%
  • Éric Zemmour3.5%
  • Fabien Roussel3%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan3%
  • Nathalie Arthaud2%

Line-up 3 · with Bardella, Glucksmann, Retailleau, Darmanin, Villepin, Zemmour

  • Jordan Bardella37%
  • Raphaël Glucksmann13%
  • Bruno Retailleau13%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon10%
  • Gérald Darmanin8%
  • Dominique de Villepin5%
  • Marine Tondelier4%
  • Fabien Roussel3%
  • Éric Zemmour3%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2.5%
  • Nathalie Arthaud1.5%

Line-up 4 · with Le Pen, Glucksmann, Retailleau, Attal, Villepin, Knafo

  • Marine Le Pen35%
  • Raphaël Glucksmann12%
  • Bruno Retailleau12%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon11%
  • Gabriel Attal10%
  • Marine Tondelier4.5%
  • Dominique de Villepin4.5%
  • Sarah Knafo4%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan3%
  • Nathalie Arthaud2%
  • Fabien Roussel2%

Line-up 5 · with Le Pen, Philippe, Glucksmann, Retailleau, Villepin, Knafo

  • Marine Le Pen34%
  • Édouard Philippe16%
  • Raphaël Glucksmann11%
  • Bruno Retailleau11%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon10%
  • Dominique de Villepin5%
  • Marine Tondelier4%
  • Sarah Knafo4%
  • Fabien Roussel2%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2%
  • Nathalie Arthaud1%

Line-up 6 · with Bardella, Glucksmann, Retailleau, Attal, Villepin, Zemmour

  • Jordan Bardella36%
  • Raphaël Glucksmann12%
  • Bruno Retailleau12%
  • Gabriel Attal11%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon10%
  • Marine Tondelier4%
  • Dominique de Villepin4%
  • Éric Zemmour4%
  • Fabien Roussel3%
  • Nathalie Arthaud2%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2%

Line-up 7 · with Bardella, Philippe, Retailleau, Faure, Zemmour

  • Jordan Bardella36%
  • Édouard Philippe19%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon11%
  • Bruno Retailleau11%
  • Olivier Faure5%
  • Marine Tondelier5%
  • Éric Zemmour4.5%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan3.5%
  • Fabien Roussel3%
  • Nathalie Arthaud2%

Line-up 8 · with Bardella, Philippe, Retailleau, Hollande, Zemmour

  • Jordan Bardella36%
  • Édouard Philippe18%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon11%
  • Bruno Retailleau11%
  • François Hollande8%
  • Marine Tondelier5%
  • Éric Zemmour4%
  • Fabien Roussel3%
  • Nathalie Arthaud2%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2%

Line-up 9 · with Bardella, Retailleau, Glucksmann, Zemmour

  • Jordan Bardella38%
  • Bruno Retailleau17%
  • Raphaël Glucksmann16%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon12%
  • Marine Tondelier5%
  • Éric Zemmour4%
  • Fabien Roussel3%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan3%
  • Nathalie Arthaud2%

Line-up 10 · with Bardella, Philippe, Glucksmann, Zemmour

  • Jordan Bardella37%
  • Édouard Philippe23%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon12%
  • Raphaël Glucksmann11%
  • Éric Zemmour5%
  • Marine Tondelier4.5%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan3%
  • Fabien Roussel2.5%
  • Nathalie Arthaud2%

A single poll is one measurement with its own margin of error. Our model weights every published poll, corrects for house effects and projects the range of plausible outcomes.

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