Meurthe-et-Moselle — 5ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Meurthe-et-Moselle
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a 79% chance of winning, with an average lead of 0.8 points.
Competitive. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 42%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | LR and allies | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meurthe-et-Moselle — 5ème circonscription | 41.3% | 40.5% | 14.5% | 2.3% |
| Provincial averageMeurthe-et-Moselle | 39.4%+1.9 | 31.4%+9.1 | 13.3%+1.1 | 2.0%+0.3 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+5.3 | 29.0%+11.5 | 12.2%+2.2 | 3.9%−1.6 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Dominique POTIER · Left (NFP)
Previous election (2024)
The united left won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 0.8 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dominique POTIER Elected | Left (NFP) | 22,415 | 43.5 |
| Louis-Joseph PECHER | RN and allies | 15,704 | 30.5 |
| Quentin VINOT | LR and allies | 7,220 | 14.0 |
| Pierre-Nicolas NUPS | RN and allies | 5,190 | 10.1 |
| Miriam AUBERT | Far left | 792 | 1.5 |
| Edouard MATHIEU | Others | 244 | 0.5 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Meurthe-et-Moselle — 2ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Meurthe-et-Moselle — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Meurthe-et-Moselle — 6ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Vosges — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Moselle — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, competitive
- Moselle — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated