Maskinongé
Provincial riding · Quebec
October 5, 2026 result
Isabelle Blais (Parti Québécois) wins with 32.0% of the vote, 4.9 points ahead of Marc-André Cloutier (PCQ).
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Isabelle Blais | PQ | 11,122 | 32.0% |
| Marc-André Cloutier | PCQ | 9,406 | 27.0% |
| Simon Allaire | CAQ | 6,826 | 19.6% |
| Nancy Mignault | QLP | 4,631 | 13.3% |
| Simon Piotte | QS | 2,357 | 6.8% |
| Jérôme Dumont | Other | 147 | 0.4% |
| Louise Gosselin | Other | 125 | 0.4% |
| Gilles Brodeur | Other | 89 | 0.3% |
| Claude Ladouceur | Other | 79 | 0.2% |
Our forecast before the vote
We had the PQ favoured at 70% (forecast of October 4, 2026): the call held.
On the eve of the vote, the Polymarket market had Isabelle Blais (PQ) winning at 98%: it got it right. Polymarket
| Party | Forecast | Result | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| PQ | 30.8% | 32.0% | +1.2 |
| PCQ | 25.9% | 27.0% | +1.1 |
| CAQ | 20.1% | 19.6% | −0.5 |
| QLP | 14.8% | 13.3% | −1.5 |
| QS | 7.3% | 6.8% | −0.5 |
| Other | 1.1% | 1.3% | +0.2 |
Next general election scheduled for October 7, 2030.
Advance voting · September 27 and 28
About 38% of votes were cast in advance
- Registered electors who voted
- 26.6% Rank 33 of 127
- Quebec average
- 23.6%
- Estimated share of votes already cast
- ≈ 38% Quebec: about 36%
- Compared with 2022
- +9% 2022: 24.5% · Quebec: +12%
Compared with 2022, advance voting rose here about as much as across Quebec.
Preliminary data from Élections Québec, subject to revision. The estimated share divides the rate by the riding's 2022 turnout (70.6%). See all 127 ridings
Compared with the average
| PQ | PCQ | CAQ | QLP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maskinongé | 30.8% | 25.9% | 20.2% | 14.8% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 28.7%+2.0 | 20.2%+5.7 | 13.9%+6.2 | 24.8%−9.9 |
Simple average of the 127 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election (2022)
The CAQ won by 37.4 points, with 70.6% turnout.
Our current projection: the PQ ahead by 6.6 points.
Candidates and votes in 2022
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Simon Allaire Elected | CAQ | 17,096 | 53.5 |
| Serge Noël | PCQ | 5,131 | 16.1 |
| Dominique Gélinas | PQ | 4,519 | 14.1 |
| Simon Piotte | QS | 3,162 | 9.9 |
| Alexandra Malenfant-Veilleux | QLP | 1,619 | 5.1 |
| Daniel Simon | Other | 227 | 0.7 |
| Françoise Boisvert | Other | 90 | 0.3 |
| Alain Bélanger | Other | 69 | 0.2 |
| Gilles Brodeur | Other | 40 | 0.1 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Richelieu PQ, safe seat
- Trois-Rivières PQ, toss-up
- Joliette PQ, safe seat
- Champlain PCQ, toss-up
- Nicolet-Bécancour PQ, toss-up
- L'Assomption PQ, competitive
- Forecast updated