Monday, November 2, 2026
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House · #29

FL-28

Latino electorate · Candidate representation

Index39/100
Favourite and chance of winningRep. 98%
Latino citizens of voting age69%
7-day change-0.2

Chance of winning in our projection, not a vote share. Latino share of citizens of voting age (18 and over), from the Census. Not registered voters, not actual voters.

Index breakdown

Latino electorate

20% · official
100

Competitiveness

20% · model
3

Flip probability

15% · model
2

Candidate representation

15% · reviewed
100

Control importance

10% · model
0

Recent movement

10% · model
1

Likely mobilization

10% · official; state estimate
32

Democratic chance of winning, day by day

50 % Sep 24, 2026 Nov 2, 2026