Washington’s 2nd District
U.S. House · WA-2
Election day November 3, 2026 · forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Democrats a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 38.5 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Democrat | Republican | |
|---|---|---|
| WA-2 | 69.2% | 30.8% |
| National averageUnited States | 54.5%+14.7 | 44.2%−13.5 |
Simple average of the 435 districts, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Local profile
| Latino citizens aged 18 and over | 7.9% (± 0.3) |
|---|
Current member
Rick Larsen · Democrat
Primary results
| Top-two primary | Rick Larsen · Advanced to the general election | 42.4% | 88,708 votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top-two primary | Edwin H. Feller · Advanced to the general election | 32.8% | 68,713 votes |
Democrat 
Republican Previous election (2024)
The Democrats won by 28.0 points.
Our current projection: the Democrats ahead by 38.5 points.
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated