Utah’s 3rd District
U.S. House · UT-3
Election day November 3, 2026 · forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Republicans a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 30.0 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Republican | Democrat | |
|---|---|---|
| UT-3 | 65.0% | 35.0% |
| National averageUnited States | 44.2%+20.7 | 54.5%−19.5 |
Simple average of the 435 districts, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Polls in this district
1 poll
Each poll as the pollster published it; these are not the Vote-Scope projection. When a pollster tests several ballots (with or without a given candidate), each one is shown as a scenario.
Current member
Celeste Maloy · Republican
Primary results
| Democratic primary | Kent Udell | 0.0% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Republican primary | Celeste Maloy | 65.7% | 67,135 votes |
Republican 
Democrat Previous election (2024)
The Republicans won by 29.1 points.
Our current projection: the Republicans ahead by 30.0 points.
Where these voters came from
This district was redrawn in the 2025-2026 redistricting. Share of its voters from each former district:
- Former district 3 55%
- Former district 2 40%
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated