South Carolina’s 6th District

U.S. House · SC-6

Election day November 3, 2026 · forecast of October 15, 2026

Our forecast gives the Democrats a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 34.1 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

	Democrat	Republican	Other
SC-6	66.3%	32.3%	1.4%
National averageUnited States	54.5%+11.8	44.2%−12.0	1.2%+0.1

Simple average of the 435 districts, not weighted by population.

Projection track

Latino citizens aged 18 and over	3.3% (± 0.2)

Share of all citizens aged 18 and over (ACS 2020–2024 estimate). Not a share of registered or actual voters.

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, citizen voting-age population by race and ethnicity, ACS 2020–2024, 119th Congress districts

Jim Clyburn · Democrat

Held June 9, 2026 · Official source

Democratic primary	Jim Clyburn	90.3%	75,411 votes
Republican primary	John Peterson	74.0%	22,169 votes

Who's running

Candidates for the upcoming election.

The Democrats won by 22.8 points.

Our current projection: the Democrats ahead by 34.1 points.

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Watch list

The smallest projected gaps between the top two.