Pennsylvania’s 17th District
U.S. House · PA-17
Election day November 3, 2026 · forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Democrats a 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 19.1 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 3%.
Compared with the average
| Democrat | Republican | |
|---|---|---|
| PA-17 | 59.5% | 40.5% |
| National averageUnited States | 54.5%+5.0 | 44.2%−3.8 |
Simple average of the 435 districts, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Local profile
| Latino citizens aged 18 and over | 1.9% (± 0.1) |
|---|
Current member
Chris Deluzio · Democrat
Primary results
| Democratic primary | Chris Deluzio | 100.0% | 83,791 votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Republican primary | Tony Guy | 53.3% | 19,581 votes |
Democrat 
Republican Previous election (2024)
The Democrats won by 7.8 points.
Our current projection: the Democrats ahead by 19.1 points.
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated