Pennsylvania’s 13th District
U.S. House · PA-13
Election day November 3, 2026 · forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Republicans a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 37.6 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Republican | Democrat | |
|---|---|---|
| PA-13 | 68.8% | 31.2% |
| National averageUnited States | 44.2%+24.5 | 54.5%−23.3 |
Simple average of the 435 districts, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Local profile
| Latino citizens aged 18 and over | 2.6% (± 0.1) |
|---|
Current member
John Joyce · Republican
Primary results
| Democratic primary | Beth Farnham | 100.0% | 32,428 votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Republican primary | John Joyce | 100.0% | 58,992 votes |
Republican 
Democrat Previous election (2024)
The Republicans won by 48.4 points.
Our current projection: the Republicans ahead by 37.6 points.
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated