Pennsylvania’s 6th District

U.S. House · PA-6

Election day November 3, 2026 · forecast of October 15, 2026

Our forecast gives the Democrats a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 23.3 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 1%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

	Democrat	Republican
PA-6	61.6%	38.4%
National averageUnited States	54.5%+7.1	44.2%−5.9

Simple average of the 435 districts, not weighted by population.

Projection track

Latino citizens aged 18 and over	11.8% (± 0.3)

Share of all citizens aged 18 and over (ACS 2020–2024 estimate). Not a share of registered or actual voters.

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, citizen voting-age population by race and ethnicity, ACS 2020–2024, 119th Congress districts

Chrissy Houlahan · Democrat

Held May 19, 2026 · Certified official result · Official source

Democratic primary	Chrissy Houlahan	100.0%	63,022 votes
Republican primary	Marty Young	100.0%	33,376 votes

Who's running

Candidates for the upcoming election.

The Democrats won by 12.4 points.

Our current projection: the Democrats ahead by 23.3 points.

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Watch list

The smallest projected gaps between the top two.