Ohio’s 6th District
U.S. House · OH-6
Election day November 3, 2026 · forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Republicans a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 24.2 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 1%.
Compared with the average
| Republican | Democrat | |
|---|---|---|
| OH-6 | 62.1% | 37.9% |
| National averageUnited States | 44.2%+17.8 | 54.5%−16.6 |
Simple average of the 435 districts, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Current member
Michael Rulli · Republican
Primary results
| Democratic primary | Elizabeth Kirtley | 31.5% | 12,318 votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Republican primary | Michael Rulli | 76.2% | 47,868 votes |
Republican 
Democrat Previous election (2024)
The Republicans won by 31.8 points.
Our current projection: the Republicans ahead by 24.2 points.
Where these voters came from
This district was redrawn in the 2025-2026 redistricting. Share of its voters from each former district:
- Former district 6 80%
- Former district 12 11%
- Former district 7 7%
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated