Maryland’s 7th District
U.S. House · MD-7
Election day November 3, 2026 · forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Democrats a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 74.0 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Democrat | Republican | Other | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MD-7 | 86.9% | 12.9% | 0.2% |
| National averageUnited States | 54.5%+32.4 | 44.2%−31.3 | 1.2%−1.0 |
Simple average of the 435 districts, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Local profile
| Latino citizens aged 18 and over | 4.8% (± 0.3) |
|---|
Current member
Kweisi Mfume · Democrat
Primary results
| Democratic primary | Kweisi Mfume | 70.1% | 57,793 votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Republican primary | Scott M. Collier | 100.0% | 5,749 votes |
Democrat 
Republican Previous election (2024)
The Democrats won by 63.1 points.
Our current projection: the Democrats ahead by 74.0 points.
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated