Kansas’s 2nd District
U.S. House · KS-2
Election day November 3, 2026 · forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Republicans a 90% chance of winning, with an average lead of 10.0 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 25%.
Compared with the average
| Republican | Democrat | Other | |
|---|---|---|---|
| KS-2 | 53.5% | 44.3% | 2.3% |
| National averageUnited States | 44.2%+9.2 | 54.5%−10.2 | 1.2%+1.0 |
Simple average of the 435 districts, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Local profile
| Latino citizens aged 18 and over | 8.4% (± 0.3) |
|---|
Current member
Derek Schmidt · Republican
Primary results
| Democratic primary | Don Coover | 100.0% | 38,737 votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Republican primary | Derek Schmidt | 79.9% | 62,969 votes |
Republican 
Democrat Previous election (2024)
The Republicans won by 18.9 points.
Our current projection: the Republicans ahead by 10.0 points.
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated