Georgia’s 14th District

U.S. House · GA-14

Election day November 3, 2026 · forecast of October 15, 2026

Our forecast gives the Republicans a 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 17.0 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 5%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

	Republican	Democrat
GA-14	58.5%	41.5%
National averageUnited States	44.2%+14.2	54.5%−13.0

Simple average of the 435 districts, not weighted by population.

Projection track

Latino citizens aged 18 and over	7.5% (± 0.3)

Share of all citizens aged 18 and over (ACS 2020–2024 estimate). Not a share of registered or actual voters.

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, citizen voting-age population by race and ethnicity, ACS 2020–2024, 119th Congress districts

Greene, Marjorie Taylor · Republican

Held May 19, 2026 · Certified official result · Official source

Democratic primary	Shawn Harris	100.0%	43,067 votes
Republican primary	Clay Fuller	81.3%	66,888 votes

Who's running

Candidates for the upcoming election.

Republican Incumbent

Clay Fuller
source
Democrat Open seat

Shawn Harris
source
Other Open seat

Ruszkowski ( Rush ), Rob

General-election qualification remains to be verified.
Republican Open seat

Beau Brown

General-election qualification remains to be verified.

The Republicans won by 28.7 points.

Our current projection: the Republicans ahead by 17.0 points.

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Watch list

The smallest projected gaps between the top two.