Georgia’s 11th District
U.S. House · GA-11
Election day November 3, 2026 · forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Republicans a 91% chance of winning, with an average lead of 10.2 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 23%.
Compared with the average
| Republican | Democrat | |
|---|---|---|
| GA-11 | 54.7% | 45.3% |
| National averageUnited States | 44.2%+10.5 | 54.5%−9.2 |
Simple average of the 435 districts, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Polls in this district
1 poll, 2 scenarios
Each poll as the pollster published it; these are not the Vote-Scope projection. When a pollster tests several ballots (with or without a given candidate), each one is shown as a scenario.
Local profile
| Latino citizens aged 18 and over | 7.3% (± 0.3) |
|---|
Current member
Loudermilk, Barry · Republican
Primary results
| Democratic primary | Chris Harden | 74.8% | 39,204 votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Republican primary | John Cowan | 65.0% | 44,799 votes |
Democrat 
Republican Previous election (2024)
The Republicans won by 34.6 points.
Our current projection: the Republicans ahead by 10.2 points.
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated