California’s 2nd District
U.S. House · CA-2
Election day November 3, 2026 · forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Democrats a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 33.3 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Democrat | Republican | |
|---|---|---|
| CA-2 | 66.6% | 33.4% |
| National averageUnited States | 54.5%+12.1 | 44.2%−10.9 |
Simple average of the 435 districts, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Current member
Jared Huffman · Democrat
Primary results
| Top-two primary | Jared Huffman · Advanced to the general election | 56.5% | 139,660 votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top-two primary | Robin Littau · Advanced to the general election | 11.4% | 28,220 votes |
Democrat 
Republican Previous election (2024)
The Republicans won by 36.6 points.
Our current projection: the Democrats ahead by 33.3 points.
Where these voters came from
This district was redrawn in the 2025-2026 redistricting. Share of its voters from each former district:
- Former district 1 55%
- Former district 2 45%
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated