Thursday, October 15, 2026
B.C. votes in 9 days

Haute-Vienne — 1ère circonscription

Legislative constituency · Haute-Vienne

Forecast of July 11, 2026

Our forecast gives the united left a 70% chance of winning, with an average lead of 0.3 points.

Competitive. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 60%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Left (NFP) 36.0%
  • RN and allies 35.7%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 21.9%
  • Others 2.0%
  • Sovereignists 1.9%
  • Far left 1.3%
  • LR and allies 1.2%

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

Compared with the average

Left (NFP) RN and allies Centre (Ensemble) Others
Haute-Vienne — 1ère circonscription 36.0%35.7%21.9%2.0%
Provincial averageHaute-Vienne 35.4%+0.6 37.7%−2.0 21.0%+1.0 2.0%
National averageFrance 29.0%+7.0 36.0%−0.3 17.0%+4.9 3.9%−1.9

Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.

Current member

Damien MAUDET · Left (NFP)

Previous election (2024)

The united left won by 0.0 points.

Our current projection: the united left ahead by 0.3 points.

Candidates and votes in 2024

Candidate Party Votes %
Damien MAUDET Elected Left (NFP) 21,271 36.9
Camille DOS SANTOS DE OLIVEIRA RN and allies 18,904 32.8
Isabelle NEGRIER Centre (Ensemble) 15,544 27.0
Serge MORETTI Sovereignists 1,066 1.9
Elisabeth FAUCON Far left 803 1.4

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Forecast updated