Thursday, October 15, 2026
B.C. votes in 9 days

Haute-Vienne — 2ème circonscription

Legislative constituency · Haute-Vienne

Forecast of July 11, 2026

Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a 57% chance of winning, with an average lead of 3.8 points.

Toss-up. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 86%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • RN and allies 39.7%
  • Left (NFP) 35.9%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 19.4%
  • Others 2.0%
  • Far left 1.8%
  • LR and allies 1.2%

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

Compared with the average

RN and allies Left (NFP) Centre (Ensemble) Others
Haute-Vienne — 2ème circonscription 39.7%35.9%19.4%2.0%
Provincial averageHaute-Vienne 37.7%+2.0 35.4%+0.5 21.0%−1.6 2.0%
National averageFrance 36.0%+3.7 29.0%+6.9 17.0%+2.4 3.9%−1.9

Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.

Current member

Stéphane DELAUTRETTE · Left (NFP)

Previous election (2024)

The united left won by 0.0 points.

Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 3.8 points.

Candidates and votes in 2024

Candidate Party Votes %
Sabrina MINGUET RN and allies 25,539 36.9
Stéphane DELAUTRETTE Elected Left (NFP) 25,520 36.8
Marie-Eve TAYOT Centre (Ensemble) 16,937 24.4
Claudine ROUSSIE Far left 1,290 1.9

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Forecast updated