Thursday, October 15, 2026
B.C. votes in 9 days

Dordogne — 4ème circonscription

Legislative constituency · Dordogne

Forecast of July 11, 2026

Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a 88% chance of winning, with an average lead of 6.4 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 24%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • RN and allies 40.0%
  • Left (NFP) 33.6%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 14.6%
  • LR and allies 8.8%
  • Others 2.0%
  • Far left 0.9%

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

Compared with the average

RN and allies Left (NFP) Centre (Ensemble) LR and allies
Dordogne — 4ème circonscription 40.0%33.6%14.6%8.8%
Provincial averageDordogne 42.6%−2.6 29.3%+4.3 16.7%−2.1 8.1%+0.8
National averageFrance 36.0%+4.0 29.0%+4.5 17.0%−2.4 12.2%−3.4

Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.

Current member

Sébastien PEYTAVIE · Left (NFP)

Previous election (2024)

The united left won by 0.0 points.

Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 6.4 points.

Candidates and votes in 2024

Candidate Party Votes %
Dominique-Louise MARCHAUDON RN and allies 22,767 36.0
Sébastien PEYTAVIE Elected Left (NFP) 21,801 34.5
Jérôme PEYRAT Centre (Ensemble) 10,521 16.6
Anne-Catherine BALLAND LR and allies 4,836 7.7
François TOURNE Centre (Ensemble) 1,904 3.0
Nathalie BALLERAND RN and allies 730 1.2
Christophe GREEN-MADEO Far left 657 1.0

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Forecast updated