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TX-35 Latino electorate · Competitiveness
Index 54/100
Favourite and chance of winning Rep. 55%
Latino citizens of voting age 46%
7-day change +5.9
Chance of winning in our projection, not a vote share. Latino share of citizens of voting age (18 and over), from the Census. Not registered voters, not actual voters.
Index breakdown
Latino electorate 20% · official 91
Competitiveness 20% · model 89
Flip probability 15% · model 45
Candidate representation 15% · no verified candidate in registry 0
Control importance 10% · model 62
Recent movement 10% · model 39
Likely mobilization 10% · official; state estimate 15
Democratic chance of winning, day by day 50 % Mar 24, 2026 Oct 15, 2026 Candidates on the November 3 ballot Johnny Garcia Democratic
Carlos Jr. De La Cruz Republican
Joshua Cortez Republican Filed with the FEC, not yet confirmed on the ballot
Larry La Rose Republican
Mark Eberwine Republican
Randal Haskel Adams Republican Filed with the FEC, not yet confirmed on the ballot
Rod Lingsch Republican
Lost in the primaries (8) John Lira · Democratic Maureen Galindo · Democratic Whitney Masterson-Moyes · Democratic Jay Commander Furman · Republican John Lujan · Republican Ryan P Krause · Republican Steven William Wright · Republican Vanessa F. Hicks-Callaway · Republican