← Back to the U.S. Latino Radar House · #20
FL-7 Competitiveness · Latino electorate
Index 45/100
Favourite and chance of winning Rep. 58%
Latino citizens of voting age 19%
7-day change +7.0
Chance of winning in our projection, not a vote share. Latino share of citizens of voting age (18 and over), from the Census. Not registered voters, not actual voters.
Index breakdown
Latino electorate 20% · official 39
Competitiveness 20% · model 85
Flip probability 15% · model 42
Candidate representation 15% · no verified candidate in registry 0
Control importance 10% · model 58
Recent movement 10% · model 47
Likely mobilization 10% · official; state estimate 32
Democratic chance of winning, day by day 50 % Mar 27, 2026 Oct 15, 2026 Candidates on the November 3 ballot Bale Dalton Democratic
Jennifer Adams Democratic Filed with the FEC, not yet confirmed on the ballot
Noah Widmann Democratic Filed with the FEC, not yet confirmed on the ballot
Ryan Elijah Republican
Christopher Allen Dennison Other Filed with the FEC, not yet confirmed on the ballot
Lost in the primaries (5) Alan Mark Grayson · Democratic Marialana Kinter · Democratic Cory Mills · Republican Michael Johnson · Republican Sarah Ulrich · Republican