Thursday, October 15, 2026
B.C. votes in 9 days

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House · #24

FL-26

Latino electorate · Candidate representation

Index43/100
Favourite and chance of winningRep. 95%
Latino citizens of voting age66%
7-day change+1.9

Chance of winning in our projection, not a vote share. Latino share of citizens of voting age (18 and over), from the Census. Not registered voters, not actual voters.

Index breakdown

Latino electorate

20% · official
100

Competitiveness

20% · model
10

Flip probability

15% · model
5

Candidate representation

15% · reviewed
100

Control importance

10% · model
2

Recent movement

10% · model
13

Likely mobilization

10% · official; state estimate
32

Democratic chance of winning, day by day

50 % May 26, 2026 Oct 15, 2026