Wisconsin’s 2nd District
U.S. House · WI-2
Election day November 3, 2026 · forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Democrats a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 50.2 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Democrat | Republican | |
|---|---|---|
| WI-2 | 75.1% | 24.9% |
| National averageUnited States | 54.5%+20.6 | 44.2%−19.3 |
Simple average of the 435 districts, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Local profile
| Latino citizens aged 18 and over | 4.2% (± 0.2) |
|---|
Current member
Mark Pocan · Democrat
Primary results
| Democratic primary | Mark Pocan | 88.0% | 144,365 votes |
|---|
Who's running
The candidates
Candidates for the upcoming election.
-
Democrat Incumbent Mark Pocan
source
Previous election (2024)
The Democrats won by 40.2 points.
Our current projection: the Democrats ahead by 50.2 points.
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated