Massachusetts’s 6th District
U.S. House · MA-6
Election day November 3, 2026 · forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Democrats a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 30.2 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Democrat | Republican | |
|---|---|---|
| MA-6 | 65.1% | 34.9% |
| National averageUnited States | 54.5%+10.6 | 44.2%−9.4 |
Simple average of the 435 districts, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Local profile
| Latino citizens aged 18 and over | 7.6% (± 0.3) |
|---|
Current member
Moulton, Seth · Democrat
Primary results
| Democratic primary | Dan Koh | 0.0% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Republican primary | Micah Quinney Jones | 100.0% |
Democrat 
Republican Previous election (2024)
The Democrats won by 46.5 points.
Our current projection: the Democrats ahead by 30.2 points.
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated