Thursday, October 15, 2026
B.C. votes in 9 days

Louisiana’s 6th District

U.S. House · LA-6

Election day November 3, 2026 · forecast of October 15, 2026

Our forecast gives the Republicans a 92% chance of winning, with an average lead of 12.2 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 18%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Republican 55.8%
  • Democrat 44.2%

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

Compared with the average

Republican Democrat
LA-6 55.8%44.2%
National averageUnited States 44.2%+11.5 54.5%−10.3

Simple average of the 435 districts, not weighted by population.

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Current member

Fields, Cleo · Democrat

Who's running

The candidates

Candidates for the upcoming election.

  • Democrat Incumbent

    Fields, Cleo

    General-election qualification remains to be verified.

  • Republican Challenger

    Appeaning, Anjanita Monique

    General-election qualification remains to be verified.

  • Republican Challenger

    Davis, Larry Mr. III

    General-election qualification remains to be verified.

  • Democrat Open seat

    Garcia, Lindsay

    General-election qualification remains to be verified.

  • Republican Open seat

    Edmonds, Rick

    General-election qualification remains to be verified.

  • Republican Open seat

    Mebruer, Michael Edward

    General-election qualification remains to be verified.

  • Republican Open seat

    Miguez, Blake

    General-election qualification remains to be verified.

Previous election (2024)

The Democrats won by 40.5 points.

Our current projection: the Republicans ahead by 12.2 points.

Where these voters came from

This district was redrawn in the 2025-2026 redistricting. Share of its voters from each former district:

  • Former district 2 34%
  • Former district 6 25%
  • Former district 5 18%
  • Former district 1 14%
  • Former district 3 10%

Nearby districts

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

  • LA-2 Democrat, safe seat
  • LA-1 Republican, safe seat
  • LA-3 Republican, safe seat
  • LA-5 Republican, safe seat
  • LA-4 Republican, safe seat

Watch list

The tightest races

The smallest projected gaps between the top two.

  1. AZ-2Republican52%5.7-point gap
  2. KY-6Republican53%5.8-point gap
  3. VA-1Republican58%5.8-point gap
Forecast updated