Colorado’s 6th District

U.S. House · CO-6

Election day November 3, 2026 · forecast of October 15, 2026

Our forecast gives the Democrats a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 31.9 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

	Democrat	Republican	Other
CO-6	65.8%	34.0%	0.2%
National averageUnited States	54.5%+11.3	44.2%−10.3	1.2%−1.0

Simple average of the 435 districts, not weighted by population.

Projection track

Latino citizens aged 18 and over	15.3% (± 0.4)

Share of all citizens aged 18 and over (ACS 2020–2024 estimate). Not a share of registered or actual voters.

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, citizen voting-age population by race and ethnicity, ACS 2020–2024, 119th Congress districts

Jason Crow · Democrat

Held June 30, 2026 · Certified official result · Official source

Democratic primary	Jason Crow	100.0%	94,207 votes
Republican primary	Jason Clark	100.0%	38,437 votes

Who's running

Candidates for the upcoming election.

Democrat Incumbent

Jason Crow
source
Other Challenger

Witta, Samir Ezzeldin Dr.

General-election qualification remains to be verified.
Republican Open seat

Jason Clark
source

The Democrats won by 20.5 points.

Our current projection: the Democrats ahead by 31.9 points.

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Watch list

The smallest projected gaps between the top two.