Colorado’s 5th District
U.S. House · CO-5
Election day November 3, 2026 · forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Republicans a 70% chance of winning, with an average lead of 6.6 points.
Competitive. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 46%.
Compared with the average
| Republican | Democrat | Other | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CO-5 | 51.0% | 47.2% | 1.8% |
| National averageUnited States | 44.2%+6.7 | 54.5%−7.3 | 1.2%+0.6 |
Simple average of the 435 districts, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Polls in this district
2 polls
Each poll as the pollster published it; these are not the Vote-Scope projection. When a pollster tests several ballots (with or without a given candidate), each one is shown as a scenario.
Local profile
| Latino citizens aged 18 and over | 14.9% (± 0.2) |
|---|
Current member
Jeff Crank · Republican
Primary results
| Democratic primary | Jessica Killin | 61.2% | 45,511 votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Republican primary | Jeff Crank | 100.0% | 76,547 votes |
Republican 
Democrat Previous election (2024)
The Republicans won by 13.8 points.
Our current projection: the Republicans ahead by 6.6 points.
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated