California’s 34th District
U.S. House · CA-34
Election day November 3, 2026 · forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Democrats a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 62.5 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Democrat | Republican | |
|---|---|---|
| CA-34 | 81.3% | 18.7% |
| National averageUnited States | 54.5%+26.8 | 44.2%−25.5 |
Simple average of the 435 districts, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Polls in this district
1 poll
Each poll as the pollster published it; these are not the Vote-Scope projection. When a pollster tests several ballots (with or without a given candidate), each one is shown as a scenario.
Current member
Jimmy Gomez · Democrat
Primary results
| Top-two primary | Jimmy Gomez · Advanced to the general election | 46.0% | 54,993 votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top-two primary | Angela Gonzales-Torres · Advanced to the general election | 30.7% | 36,708 votes |
Democrat Previous election (2024)
The Democrats won by 95.1 points.
Our current projection: the Democrats ahead by 62.5 points.
Where these voters came from
This district was redrawn in the 2025-2026 redistricting. Share of its voters from each former district:
- Former district 34 92%
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated