← Back to the U.S. Latino Radar House · #16
CO-3 Competitiveness · Flip probability
Index 49/100
Favourite and chance of winning Dem. 67%
Latino citizens of voting age 21%
7-day change -5.8
Chance of winning in our projection, not a vote share. Latino share of citizens of voting age (18 and over), from the Census. Not registered voters, not actual voters.
Index breakdown
Latino electorate 20% · official 42
Competitiveness 20% · model 65
Flip probability 15% · model 68
Candidate representation 15% · no verified candidate in registry 0
Control importance 10% · model 99
Recent movement 10% · model 39
Likely mobilization 10% · official; state estimate 36
Democratic chance of winning, day by day 50 % Mar 24, 2026 Oct 15, 2026 Candidates on the November 3 ballot Alexander George Kelloff Democratic Filed with the FEC, not yet confirmed on the ballot
Dwayne Romero Democratic
Hope G Scheppelman Republican Filed with the FEC, not yet confirmed on the ballot
Jeffrey Hurd Republican Filed with the FEC, not yet confirmed on the ballot
Lost in the primaries (1)