Wyoming — at-large district
U.S. House · WY-AL
Election day November 3, 2026 · forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Republicans a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 31.6 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Republican | Democrat | Other | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WY-AL | 62.2% | 30.7% | 7.1% |
| National averageUnited States | 44.2%+18.0 | 54.5%−23.8 | 1.2%+5.8 |
Simple average of the 435 districts, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Local profile
| Latino citizens aged 18 and over | 7.8% (± 0.2) |
|---|
Current member
Hageman, Harriet · Republican
Primary results
| Democratic primary | Lisa Kinney | 77.9% | 9,343 votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Republican primary | Chuck Gray | 25.4% | 31,222 votes |
Democrat 
Republican Previous election (2024)
The Republicans won by 45.7 points.
Our current projection: the Republicans ahead by 31.6 points.
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated